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|Mortgage Rates Jump up to 23-Year Highs|
|9/21/2023 3:09 PM|
|Rates moved only moderately higher on Wednesday after the Fed rocked the bond market with its updated rate forecasts. To reiterate yesterday"s analysis, it"s not that the market is expecting the Fed to be accurate in those forecasts. Rather, the forecasts help investors understand how the Fed"s approach will be calibrated going forward....Read More|
|Mortgage Rates Rise After Fed"s Updated Rate Forecast|
|9/20/2023 3:50 PM|
|The Fed did not hike its policy rate today, but it did release updated forecasts that showed the average Fed member expects rates to be half a percent higher at the end of 2024 and 2025 compared to their forecasts released in June. The market was expecting a higher average forecast, but not that high. The result was broad bond market weaknes...Read More|
|Mortgage Rates Modestly Higher Ahead of Fed Announcement|
|9/19/2023 3:51 PM|
|The FOMC (Federal Reserve"s Open Market Committee) is what most people are referring to when they say "the Fed." This is the group that meets 8 times a year to decide the ideal level of the Fed Funds Rate. The Fed Funds Rate sets an anchor point for the shortest-term borrowing. Notably, the Fed doesn"t directly set mortgage rates,...Read More|
|Mortgage Rates Roughly Unchanged After Mid-Day Improvements|
|9/18/2023 3:11 PM|
|Mortgage rates began the day in slightly higher territory, but recovered after lenders offered mid-day price improvements. These sorts of mid-day changes are not uncommon when the bond market improves enough during any given business day. Assigning objective numbers to the changes makes them less interesting. The average lender was onl...Read More|
|Reasons For Fear and Hope as Mortgage Rates Tick Modestly Higher|
|9/15/2023 4:23 PM|
|In and of itself, today wasn"t too bad for mortgage rates. Things got a bit worse, but the change from yesterday was average or slightly lower. There"s even still a little bit of a cushion between current levels and the long-term highs seen in late August. Mortgage rates are often compared to 10yr Treasury yields because the two tend t...Read More|
|Mortgage Rates Only Modestly Higher Despite "Unfriendly" Data|
|9/14/2023 3:27 PM|
|Whatever is bad for the economy is typically good for interest rates. That"s the grim irony for the mortgage market and it"s the reason you might find a crowd of rate watchers feeling good about downbeat economic data. It"s not that they are happy about job losses or lower economic performance. They"re just excited to be able to o...Read More|
|Mortgage Rates Move Slightly Lower, Despite Mixed Signals in Inflation Data|
|9/13/2023 3:44 PM|
|Today"s big to-do was the release of August"s Consumer Price Index (CPI), a critical inflation report with the power to significantly influence rate momentum. In a nutshell, if inflation came in higher than expected, odds favored higher rates and vice versa. Luckily, those odds didn"t pan out. While headline inflation at the core level...Read More|
|Mortgage Rates Slightly Lower Today. Upcoming Inflation Data Could Have a Big Impact|
|9/12/2023 2:20 PM|
|Mortgage rates started the week slightly higher for the average lender, but still below last week"s highs. Most of what was lost yesterday was gained back today. All of the above makes the recent movement seem bigger than it actually has been. The last 5 business days have been some of the narrowest since mid-July with 30yr...Read More|
|Rates Defended The Ceiling Last Week; Bigger Battles Ahead|
|9/8/2023 5:55 PM|
|While it"s impossible to predict the future when it comes to financial markets, it"s usually possible to identify the events that have higher potential to cause bigger swings. Other times, volatility strikes on days when it wasn"t entirely expected. That"s how this past week began. After Monday"s holiday closure, rates jumped higher on Tuesd...Read More|
|Mortgage Rates Recover Slightly|
|9/7/2023 3:00 PM|
|Mortgage rates haven"t had a great week so far. Monday"s bank holiday meant that mortgage lenders had to account for an extra day of movement in the bond market (rates are based on bonds). That movement happened to be toward higher rates. From there, both Tuesday and Wednesday were bad days for a variety of reasons. One of ...Read More|